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	<title>Comments on: Anomaly Hunting</title>
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	<link>http://www.skepticblog.org/2009/04/27/anomaly-hunting/</link>
	<description>The official blog of the Skeptologists</description>
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		<title>By: Wrong</title>
		<link>http://www.skepticblog.org/2009/04/27/anomaly-hunting/#comment-66766</link>
		<dc:creator>Wrong</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Oct 2011 14:57:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=2229#comment-66766</guid>
		<description>It sounds like you&#039;re a little slow and hard of cognitive processing, so I&#039;ll put it simply: Using a Name that is not a name is cowardly.
Also, if someone believes the blog is not worth reading, why are they wasting time on it? If it were bad but worth reading, sure, criticism helps. But if it&#039;s not worth reading it&#039;s beyond help, and arguing with those you don&#039;t agree with gets you nowhere if you think they can&#039;t be convinced.
If someone dismisses your argument as a bunch of nerds reinforcing each others trite opinions without proving you wrong, that&#039;s ad hominem. It&#039;s a claim about them, unrelated to the issue, which does not make them right. It&#039;s: you&#039;re wrong, because you&#039;re a member of this sites community, and I dismiss this site out of hand.

Despite the fact that tmac had pointed out something obvious and said that accusing NASA of lying is a pointless conspiricay (Prove it if you think it&#039;s actually happening), and to prove the statement he relies on as fact, that as in the movies, the government would hide aliens once they found them. 

I&#039;d accuse you of being HMMMM, but I don&#039;t have proof, but I&#039;ll imply it: You&#039;re either HMMMM, or a rude and stupid person who responded to a post without thinking. I think that&#039;s a reasonable dichotomy. 
(Also, going to (JREF I would assume) to find a person&#039;s real name, and use it to address them is a pathetic implied threat. Grow some balls and use your name if you want to call out others.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It sounds like you&#8217;re a little slow and hard of cognitive processing, so I&#8217;ll put it simply: Using a Name that is not a name is cowardly.<br />
Also, if someone believes the blog is not worth reading, why are they wasting time on it? If it were bad but worth reading, sure, criticism helps. But if it&#8217;s not worth reading it&#8217;s beyond help, and arguing with those you don&#8217;t agree with gets you nowhere if you think they can&#8217;t be convinced.<br />
If someone dismisses your argument as a bunch of nerds reinforcing each others trite opinions without proving you wrong, that&#8217;s ad hominem. It&#8217;s a claim about them, unrelated to the issue, which does not make them right. It&#8217;s: you&#8217;re wrong, because you&#8217;re a member of this sites community, and I dismiss this site out of hand.</p>
<p>Despite the fact that tmac had pointed out something obvious and said that accusing NASA of lying is a pointless conspiricay (Prove it if you think it&#8217;s actually happening), and to prove the statement he relies on as fact, that as in the movies, the government would hide aliens once they found them. </p>
<p>I&#8217;d accuse you of being HMMMM, but I don&#8217;t have proof, but I&#8217;ll imply it: You&#8217;re either HMMMM, or a rude and stupid person who responded to a post without thinking. I think that&#8217;s a reasonable dichotomy.<br />
(Also, going to (JREF I would assume) to find a person&#8217;s real name, and use it to address them is a pathetic implied threat. Grow some balls and use your name if you want to call out others.</p>
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		<title>By: Wrong</title>
		<link>http://www.skepticblog.org/2009/04/27/anomaly-hunting/#comment-66765</link>
		<dc:creator>Wrong</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Oct 2011 14:49:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=2229#comment-66765</guid>
		<description>It works. That&#039;s it. You see something, you think something, you find evidence to support a hypothesis, and formulate theories. It&#039;s testable, provable, convergent and logical. 
I don&#039;t see how methodological Naturalism is a shortfall in any way. 
I can&#039;t think of any other approach that logically works, and if we do not have logic, then I guess everything falls apart to an extent. So I guess logic and reasoning are axiomatic then. And everything else follows. Unless someone has a better idea? (I&#039;m wondering what you have to take as axiomatic so that the Scientific Method naturally follows).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It works. That&#8217;s it. You see something, you think something, you find evidence to support a hypothesis, and formulate theories. It&#8217;s testable, provable, convergent and logical.<br />
I don&#8217;t see how methodological Naturalism is a shortfall in any way.<br />
I can&#8217;t think of any other approach that logically works, and if we do not have logic, then I guess everything falls apart to an extent. So I guess logic and reasoning are axiomatic then. And everything else follows. Unless someone has a better idea? (I&#8217;m wondering what you have to take as axiomatic so that the Scientific Method naturally follows).</p>
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		<title>By: Wrong</title>
		<link>http://www.skepticblog.org/2009/04/27/anomaly-hunting/#comment-66764</link>
		<dc:creator>Wrong</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Oct 2011 14:45:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=2229#comment-66764</guid>
		<description>It would entirely justify NASA and SETI forever. I&#039;d think an announcement like that would be on par with: &quot;We actually found WMDs in Iraq!&quot;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It would entirely justify NASA and SETI forever. I&#8217;d think an announcement like that would be on par with: &#8220;We actually found WMDs in Iraq!&#8221;.</p>
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		<title>By: Wrong</title>
		<link>http://www.skepticblog.org/2009/04/27/anomaly-hunting/#comment-66763</link>
		<dc:creator>Wrong</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Oct 2011 14:43:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=2229#comment-66763</guid>
		<description>Occam&#039;s Razor has never been a step in formal logic. It&#039;s a heuristic tool for working out the most Likely explanation. It&#039;s an inductive and short process. To use it to construct a logical arguement would be a logical fallacy, and to imply that Occam&#039;s Razor doesn&#039;t work simply because the simplest explanation doesn&#039;t work is stupid. It&#039;s pointless, it&#039;s wrong, and it shows that you have no understanding of the tool.

Say I have a slice of pizza on my desk. I go down the noisy stairs to get a drink. When I get back, it is gone. I have two options: My youngest brother who was upstairs ate it, or my brother downstairs got upstairs without making a sound and ate it, and snuck down (Barring some explanation involving say, aliens, but they can be excluded by Occam&#039;s Razor as Unlikely). 
I look at the two options: My brother sneaking up the stairs is unlikely, and it assumes he is capable of doing so, and did so. 
While no such assumption requires that the younger brother ate it. Therefore, it is most likely the younger brother who ate it. If I go to him, and find out that my other brother did sneak up the stairs, then suddenly my assumption was proved correct, and both explanations are equally valid.

Occam&#039;s Razor simply excludes unwarranted assumptions: If those assumptions are correct, then an Unlikely solution becomes the correct one. It is logical to work from the most likely solution to the least likely solution. And if you still can&#039;t understand Occam&#039;s Razor, then let me put it in simpler terms:
Occam&#039;s Razor=Heuristic (Educated Guessing) tool for determining likely theories, and potentially ordering them.
Occam&#039;s Razor=/= and has never been equal to a law of logic. It&#039;s a tool for finding what we should analyze, not for saying what is true.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Occam&#8217;s Razor has never been a step in formal logic. It&#8217;s a heuristic tool for working out the most Likely explanation. It&#8217;s an inductive and short process. To use it to construct a logical arguement would be a logical fallacy, and to imply that Occam&#8217;s Razor doesn&#8217;t work simply because the simplest explanation doesn&#8217;t work is stupid. It&#8217;s pointless, it&#8217;s wrong, and it shows that you have no understanding of the tool.</p>
<p>Say I have a slice of pizza on my desk. I go down the noisy stairs to get a drink. When I get back, it is gone. I have two options: My youngest brother who was upstairs ate it, or my brother downstairs got upstairs without making a sound and ate it, and snuck down (Barring some explanation involving say, aliens, but they can be excluded by Occam&#8217;s Razor as Unlikely).<br />
I look at the two options: My brother sneaking up the stairs is unlikely, and it assumes he is capable of doing so, and did so.<br />
While no such assumption requires that the younger brother ate it. Therefore, it is most likely the younger brother who ate it. If I go to him, and find out that my other brother did sneak up the stairs, then suddenly my assumption was proved correct, and both explanations are equally valid.</p>
<p>Occam&#8217;s Razor simply excludes unwarranted assumptions: If those assumptions are correct, then an Unlikely solution becomes the correct one. It is logical to work from the most likely solution to the least likely solution. And if you still can&#8217;t understand Occam&#8217;s Razor, then let me put it in simpler terms:<br />
Occam&#8217;s Razor=Heuristic (Educated Guessing) tool for determining likely theories, and potentially ordering them.<br />
Occam&#8217;s Razor=/= and has never been equal to a law of logic. It&#8217;s a tool for finding what we should analyze, not for saying what is true.</p>
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		<title>By: vincentvoll</title>
		<link>http://www.skepticblog.org/2009/04/27/anomaly-hunting/#comment-7797</link>
		<dc:creator>vincentvoll</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 May 2009 09:36:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=2229#comment-7797</guid>
		<description>Well,

What about the mirror riddled with anomalies thats advertised in theoretical phys. ?. What about the social anomalies, where is the proletariat ?. What about the political anomalies, this strange alliance between leadership and the syndrome of Down ( in our country we have this thing called Geert Wilders ). How do we join the order of things, anyway ?.

Uit de belaagde landen
Greetz Vincent Voll.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well,</p>
<p>What about the mirror riddled with anomalies thats advertised in theoretical phys. ?. What about the social anomalies, where is the proletariat ?. What about the political anomalies, this strange alliance between leadership and the syndrome of Down ( in our country we have this thing called Geert Wilders ). How do we join the order of things, anyway ?.</p>
<p>Uit de belaagde landen<br />
Greetz Vincent Voll.</p>
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		<title>By: Jeff</title>
		<link>http://www.skepticblog.org/2009/04/27/anomaly-hunting/#comment-6716</link>
		<dc:creator>Jeff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 May 2009 17:00:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=2229#comment-6716</guid>
		<description>So wait, he is relying on NASA, what he considers an unreliable source, to generate evidence in the first place but rejects the more detailed, harder to forge, high resolution photos they later come out with? That is the exact opposite of a hypothesis.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So wait, he is relying on NASA, what he considers an unreliable source, to generate evidence in the first place but rejects the more detailed, harder to forge, high resolution photos they later come out with? That is the exact opposite of a hypothesis.</p>
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		<title>By: W</title>
		<link>http://www.skepticblog.org/2009/04/27/anomaly-hunting/#comment-6137</link>
		<dc:creator>W</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 May 2009 17:50:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=2229#comment-6137</guid>
		<description>tmac57 says: 
May 2, 2009 at 12:01 pm
I can’t see any reason why the government wouldn’t be more than willing to say they had discovered real evidence of extra-terrestrials. That would be an incredible discovery.
Why don’t you just go with the “dopey blog not worth reading”, and take your ad-homiem attacks elsewhere?

...sounds like someone got their feelings hurt...waaa....waaa...waaa...somebodyshould get tmac57(Tracy McGraddy?!?) some tissues, cuz he&#039;s upset...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>tmac57 says:<br />
May 2, 2009 at 12:01 pm<br />
I can’t see any reason why the government wouldn’t be more than willing to say they had discovered real evidence of extra-terrestrials. That would be an incredible discovery.<br />
Why don’t you just go with the “dopey blog not worth reading”, and take your ad-homiem attacks elsewhere?</p>
<p>&#8230;sounds like someone got their feelings hurt&#8230;waaa&#8230;.waaa&#8230;waaa&#8230;somebodyshould get tmac57(Tracy McGraddy?!?) some tissues, cuz he&#8217;s upset&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Ray</title>
		<link>http://www.skepticblog.org/2009/04/27/anomaly-hunting/#comment-6115</link>
		<dc:creator>Ray</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 May 2009 09:47:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=2229#comment-6115</guid>
		<description>I&#039;ve been extremism on both sides of the fence when it comes to discussions of anomalous phenomena, in terms of true dis-believers digging in their heels almost as much as the true believers. This article would make it sound as though the skeptics are the rational, even-keeled ones, but I&#039;ve seen a few too many cases of knee-jerk debunking going on--not as bad as what Hoagland does, thank God, but bad enough. 

Case in point: I find Dean Radin&#039;s work on anomalous interactions beteen humans and machines deeply impressive, and Radin seems like a thoughtful, scientifically-minded fellow--yet the skeptical community has treated him like something of a crackpot (when they choose to acknowledge him at all), and the critical studies I&#039;ve read of his work have not only seemed unconvincing, but have struck me as a slippery, defensive upholding of the status quo. 

Similarly, I&#039;ve seen skeptical attacks on researchers who stand to profit from their promotion of anomalous phenomena (UFOs, Bigfoot, etc.), and that&#039;s a perfectly legitimate criticism; yet that sword cuts both ways, i.e., if someone makes their living debunking anomalous phenomenon (say, the publisher or editor of a skeptical magazine), why should we trust their judgment of the evidence to be any less biased for reasons of profit? After all, if they were to start publishing articles favorable to these things, they&#039;d be out of a job. What&#039;s good for the goose...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve been extremism on both sides of the fence when it comes to discussions of anomalous phenomena, in terms of true dis-believers digging in their heels almost as much as the true believers. This article would make it sound as though the skeptics are the rational, even-keeled ones, but I&#8217;ve seen a few too many cases of knee-jerk debunking going on&#8211;not as bad as what Hoagland does, thank God, but bad enough. </p>
<p>Case in point: I find Dean Radin&#8217;s work on anomalous interactions beteen humans and machines deeply impressive, and Radin seems like a thoughtful, scientifically-minded fellow&#8211;yet the skeptical community has treated him like something of a crackpot (when they choose to acknowledge him at all), and the critical studies I&#8217;ve read of his work have not only seemed unconvincing, but have struck me as a slippery, defensive upholding of the status quo. </p>
<p>Similarly, I&#8217;ve seen skeptical attacks on researchers who stand to profit from their promotion of anomalous phenomena (UFOs, Bigfoot, etc.), and that&#8217;s a perfectly legitimate criticism; yet that sword cuts both ways, i.e., if someone makes their living debunking anomalous phenomenon (say, the publisher or editor of a skeptical magazine), why should we trust their judgment of the evidence to be any less biased for reasons of profit? After all, if they were to start publishing articles favorable to these things, they&#8217;d be out of a job. What&#8217;s good for the goose&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Steven Novella</title>
		<link>http://www.skepticblog.org/2009/04/27/anomaly-hunting/#comment-6085</link>
		<dc:creator>Steven Novella</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 May 2009 23:26:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=2229#comment-6085</guid>
		<description>Hmmm
- Do you have a reference for the claim that NASA lied about another photo? It&#039;s hard to respond to that without a source. I suspect the story is either different or more complex than you think. 

- Don&#039;t ignore simple human error before concluding there is a conspiracy.

- NASA would have a huge incentive to go public with information about possible alien artifacts on Mars. Think what that would do for their budget, and for public support for more Mars missions. 

- You ask for a reason why they would tell the truth (and I just gave you one), but you have not provided a reason why they would lie.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hmmm<br />
- Do you have a reference for the claim that NASA lied about another photo? It&#8217;s hard to respond to that without a source. I suspect the story is either different or more complex than you think. </p>
<p>- Don&#8217;t ignore simple human error before concluding there is a conspiracy.</p>
<p>- NASA would have a huge incentive to go public with information about possible alien artifacts on Mars. Think what that would do for their budget, and for public support for more Mars missions. </p>
<p>- You ask for a reason why they would tell the truth (and I just gave you one), but you have not provided a reason why they would lie.</p>
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		<title>By: Devil's Advocate</title>
		<link>http://www.skepticblog.org/2009/04/27/anomaly-hunting/#comment-6079</link>
		<dc:creator>Devil's Advocate</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 May 2009 21:57:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=2229#comment-6079</guid>
		<description>&quot;is it not possible, that skepticism itself is a mental pitfall? that despite the best intentions of scientific methods, those methods are also mistaken?&quot;

In that very little can be proved impossible, the better, truer judgment would be rating the probability that scientific skepticism and scientific method are illusory, mere mental pitfalls. I would rate that probability at virtually nil. 

I say this bevause it works. It&#039;s testable and one can arrive at an objective conclusion. One might cogitate an application of a theory for unpowered human flight that may or may not be total hogwash, a perfect example of a &#039;mental pitfall&#039;, but if the model works and the human-piloted hang glider goes aloft and remains there, safely returning to earth, all according to plan, that&#039;s a pretty good endorsement of the science that went into it. Of course, we have literally millions upon millions of these full endorsements. 

To be correct, any hypothesis stating that skepticism and science are illusory, a mental pitfall of humans fooling themselves, also has to explain why it nonetheless works.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;is it not possible, that skepticism itself is a mental pitfall? that despite the best intentions of scientific methods, those methods are also mistaken?&#8221;</p>
<p>In that very little can be proved impossible, the better, truer judgment would be rating the probability that scientific skepticism and scientific method are illusory, mere mental pitfalls. I would rate that probability at virtually nil. </p>
<p>I say this bevause it works. It&#8217;s testable and one can arrive at an objective conclusion. One might cogitate an application of a theory for unpowered human flight that may or may not be total hogwash, a perfect example of a &#8216;mental pitfall&#8217;, but if the model works and the human-piloted hang glider goes aloft and remains there, safely returning to earth, all according to plan, that&#8217;s a pretty good endorsement of the science that went into it. Of course, we have literally millions upon millions of these full endorsements. </p>
<p>To be correct, any hypothesis stating that skepticism and science are illusory, a mental pitfall of humans fooling themselves, also has to explain why it nonetheless works.</p>
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