Comments on: Prediction http://www.skepticblog.org/2008/11/04/prediction/ The official blog of the Skeptologists Sat, 11 Feb 2012 21:38:44 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: The Shark Guys http://www.skepticblog.org/2008/11/04/prediction/#comment-2692 The Shark Guys Tue, 20 Jan 2009 04:09:30 +0000 http://skepticblog.org/?p=300#comment-2692 Excellent. We've quoted and linked to you in part two of our rundown on our list of 2008 Predictions that were Hilariously off the Mark. Excellent. We’ve quoted and linked to you in part two of our rundown on our list of 2008 Predictions that were Hilariously off the Mark.

]]> By: oldebabe http://www.skepticblog.org/2008/11/04/prediction/#comment-579 oldebabe Fri, 07 Nov 2008 17:21:00 +0000 http://skepticblog.org/?p=300#comment-579 Keep on! Keep on!

]]> By: Max http://www.skepticblog.org/2008/11/04/prediction/#comment-554 Max Thu, 06 Nov 2008 16:59:01 +0000 http://skepticblog.org/?p=300#comment-554 Glad to help! It must be tough for figures like the Pope, the President, and the Fed Chairman. If they make their honest assessment of the situation public, the situation immediately changes. Especially when the situation is bad, sounding pessimistic can make it worse, but unwarranted optimism appears dishonest or self-delusional. Glad to help!

It must be tough for figures like the Pope, the President, and the Fed Chairman. If they make their honest assessment of the situation public, the situation immediately changes. Especially when the situation is bad, sounding pessimistic can make it worse, but unwarranted optimism appears dishonest or self-delusional.

]]> By: Mark Edward http://www.skepticblog.org/2008/11/04/prediction/#comment-534 Mark Edward Wed, 05 Nov 2008 21:25:02 +0000 http://skepticblog.org/?p=300#comment-534 Why a sealed envelope? Good question. I'm glad you are paying attention! Without revealing any "secret," (and there are many prediction routines out there)the psychic has to have something to "work with." Get it? ...As in "switch later".... Plenty of "shut-eye"* psychics annouce publicly, but it generally gets forgotten soon after that way. Sealing a prediction in an envelope and assigning it a specific date to be opened "TBA" lends itself to a more fromal presentation later, in front of the press, etc. As far as influencing the outcome, I suppose that could be a consideration if you were a demigod or someone really important like the Pope or Leno. I may use that concept as an excuse for using an envelope and sealing a prediction up in it one day, thanks. I knew this blog would lead to more great ideas! Mark Edward * a "shut-eye" in the vernacular of the "psychic entertainer" trade is an absolute believer in any occult or supernatural system: Big Foot, Elvis sightings, U.F.O's and just about anything you might hear on "Coast to Coasrt." Why a sealed envelope? Good question. I’m glad you are paying attention! Without revealing any “secret,” (and there are many prediction routines out there)the psychic has to have something to “work with.” Get it? …As in “switch later”…. Plenty of “shut-eye”* psychics annouce publicly, but it generally gets forgotten soon after that way. Sealing a prediction in an envelope and assigning it a specific date to be opened “TBA” lends itself to a more fromal presentation later, in front of the press, etc.
As far as influencing the outcome, I suppose that could be a consideration if you were a demigod or someone really important like the Pope or Leno. I may use that concept as an excuse for using an envelope and sealing a prediction up in it one day, thanks. I knew this blog would lead to more great ideas!
Mark Edward
* a “shut-eye” in the vernacular of the “psychic entertainer” trade is an absolute believer in any occult or supernatural system: Big Foot, Elvis sightings, U.F.O’s and just about anything you might hear on “Coast to Coasrt.”

]]> By: Kalemika http://www.skepticblog.org/2008/11/04/prediction/#comment-526 Kalemika Wed, 05 Nov 2008 14:38:57 +0000 http://skepticblog.org/?p=300#comment-526 http://www.tmz.com/2008/11/05/deftones-bassist-cheng-in-coma-after-crash/ Close enough, right? Just a horizontal fall! http://www.tmz.com/2008/11/05/deftones-bassist-cheng-in-coma-after-crash/

Close enough, right? Just a horizontal fall!

]]> By: Peter http://www.skepticblog.org/2008/11/04/prediction/#comment-516 Peter Wed, 05 Nov 2008 02:17:42 +0000 http://skepticblog.org/?p=300#comment-516 Obama's gonna take this one woots. But anyways ya I hope your right bro because there isn't enough people falling from high places and breaking there knee-caps these days Obama’s gonna take this one woots. But anyways ya I hope your right bro because there isn’t enough people falling from high places and breaking there knee-caps these days

]]> By: Max http://www.skepticblog.org/2008/11/04/prediction/#comment-512 Max Tue, 04 Nov 2008 23:49:02 +0000 http://skepticblog.org/?p=300#comment-512 "McCain 510 Electoral Votes, Obama 28 ... How the Map Looked Exactly 2 Years Ago" http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/2008/11/03/mccain-510-electoral-votes-ob=ama-28-how-the-map-looked-exactly-2-years-ago/ “McCain 510 Electoral Votes, Obama 28 … How the Map Looked Exactly 2 Years Ago”

http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/2008/11/03/mccain-510-electoral-votes-ob=ama-28-how-the-map-looked-exactly-2-years-ago/

]]> By: Max http://www.skepticblog.org/2008/11/04/prediction/#comment-510 Max Tue, 04 Nov 2008 23:35:59 +0000 http://skepticblog.org/?p=300#comment-510 What's the excuse given for sealing the prediction in an envelope rather than announcing it publicly? To prevent it from influencing the outcome? What’s the excuse given for sealing the prediction in an envelope rather than announcing it publicly? To prevent it from influencing the outcome?

]]> By: BillDarryl http://www.skepticblog.org/2008/11/04/prediction/#comment-506 BillDarryl Tue, 04 Nov 2008 22:10:44 +0000 http://skepticblog.org/?p=300#comment-506 In August of 2000, Kreskin went on the Howard Stern show, and made a big show out of putting his presidential election prediction in a safe to stay at Stern's studio until November. He was booked to come in the day after the election and promised the reveal at that time. Of course, by 6 AM the morning after the election, America still had no decision on the winner (Florida was uncalled). Stern began his show salivating, "I can't WAIT for Kreskin to show up." Sure enough, first Kreskin tried to call in and postpone the appearance, which Stern would not allow. Then he came in, and went through every weasely excuse he could to not open the safe. Stern & co. had a great time calling him out on his complete and total BS. The safe was not opened that day. Don't know if it ever was. In August of 2000, Kreskin went on the Howard Stern show, and made a big show out of putting his presidential election prediction in a safe to stay at Stern’s studio until November. He was booked to come in the day after the election and promised the reveal at that time.

Of course, by 6 AM the morning after the election, America still had no decision on the winner (Florida was uncalled). Stern began his show salivating, “I can’t WAIT for Kreskin to show up.”

Sure enough, first Kreskin tried to call in and postpone the appearance, which Stern would not allow. Then he came in, and went through every weasely excuse he could to not open the safe. Stern & co. had a great time calling him out on his complete and total BS.

The safe was not opened that day. Don’t know if it ever was.

]]> By: bigjohn756 http://www.skepticblog.org/2008/11/04/prediction/#comment-505 bigjohn756 Tue, 04 Nov 2008 21:35:28 +0000 http://skepticblog.org/?p=300#comment-505 The Magician's Choice won't work if you give away the fact that you have two safes. The Magician’s Choice won’t work if you give away the fact that you have two safes.

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